Detroit Lions at Philadelphia Eagles

Before kickoff

DET

25%

PHI

75%

Predicted winner

PHI

Confidence

57%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

27–24

Winner DET. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Rushing defense+0.5 PHI
• Scoring+0.3 PHI
• Home field+0.3 PHI
• Passing defense−0.2 DET