Denver Broncos at Green Bay Packers

Before kickoff

DEN

40%

GB

60%

Predicted winner

GB

Confidence

46%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

16–27

Winner GB. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Win percentage−0.7 DEN
• Home field+0.3 GB
• Interception rate+0.3 GB
• Recent form−0.2 DEN