San Francisco 49ers at Cincinnati Bengals

Before kickoff

SF

36%

CIN

64%

Predicted winner

CIN

Confidence

44%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

41–17

Winner SF. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Interception rate+0.3 CIN
• Home field+0.3 CIN
• Recent form+0.2 CIN
• Win percentage+0.2 CIN