Baltimore Ravens at Miami Dolphins

Before kickoff

BAL

74%

MIA

26%

Predicted winner

BAL

Confidence

43%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

59–10

Winner BAL. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Rushing defense−0.9 BAL
• Scoring differential−0.7 BAL
• Win percentage+0.4 MIA
• Scoring−0.4 BAL