Atlanta Falcons at Minnesota Vikings

Before kickoff

ATL

38%

MIN

62%

Predicted winner

MIN

Confidence

34%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

12–28

Winner MIN. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.3 MIN
• Scoring−0.3 ATL
• Passing offense+0.3 MIN
• Passing defense+0.2 MIN