Week 16 · Sunday, Dec 27 · 1:00 PM ET · New York
New England Patriots at New York Jets
81% NE win probability19% NYJ win probability
- Projected
- 30–15
- Model confidence
- 48%
- Model
- v0.2
Why Kickoff leans NE
Largest model inputs — log-odds contributions, not causal explanations or betting edges. Confidence is a separate score from win probability.
- Win percentageNE +0.6
Win percentage: NE +0.6, NE versus NYJ
- Scoring differentialNE +0.3
Scoring differential: NE +0.3, NE versus NYJ
- Passing efficiencyNYJ +0.3
Passing efficiency: NYJ +0.3, NE versus NYJ
- ScoringNE +0.3
Scoring: NE +0.3, NE versus NYJ
- QB yards/attemptNE +0.2
QB yards/attempt: NE +0.2, NE versus NYJ
- Offensive touchdownsNE +0.2
Offensive touchdowns: NE +0.2, NE versus NYJ
Team context
2026 records are 0–0. Kickoff has not observed 2026 games. Club pages show the latest available nflverse roster snapshot separately from this prediction.
Prediction record
- Publication
- Generated before kickoff · Aug 17, 11:23 PM ET ET
- Source
- Kickoff Model v0.2 · preseason snapshot (prior-season information)
- Lock
- Locks at kickoff
- Final result
- Awaiting final
- Evaluation
- Not settled
Model integrity
- Prediction generated from information available before kickoff.
- No betting odds in the model.
- No future results, injuries, or live 2026 box scores.
- Win probability is not produced by the language model.