Week 16 · Friday, Dec 25 · 4:30 PM ET · Denver
Buffalo Bills at Denver Broncos
45% BUF win probability55% DEN win probability
- Projected
- 22–22
- Model confidence
- 29%
- Model
- v0.2
Why Kickoff leans BUF
Largest model inputs — log-odds contributions, not causal explanations or betting edges. Confidence is a separate score from win probability.
- Rushing offenseBUF +0.2
Rushing offense: BUF +0.2, BUF versus DEN
- Rushing defenseDEN +0.2
Rushing defense: DEN +0.2, BUF versus DEN
- Passing efficiencyDEN +0.2
Passing efficiency: DEN +0.2, BUF versus DEN
- Home fieldDEN +0.1
Home field: DEN +0.1, BUF versus DEN
- ScoringBUF +0.1
Scoring: BUF +0.1, BUF versus DEN
- Win percentageDEN +0.1
Win percentage: DEN +0.1, BUF versus DEN
Team context
2026 records are 0–0. Kickoff has not observed 2026 games. Club pages show the latest available nflverse roster snapshot separately from this prediction.
Prediction record
- Publication
- Generated before kickoff · Aug 17, 11:23 PM ET ET
- Source
- Kickoff Model v0.2 · preseason snapshot (prior-season information)
- Lock
- Locks at kickoff
- Final result
- Awaiting final
- Evaluation
- Not settled
Model integrity
- Prediction generated from information available before kickoff.
- No betting odds in the model.
- No future results, injuries, or live 2026 box scores.
- Win probability is not produced by the language model.