Week 15 · Sunday, Dec 20 · 1:00 PM ET · Houston
Jacksonville Jaguars at Houston Texans
51% JAX win probability49% HOU win probability
- Projected
- 23–22
- Model confidence
- 26%
- Model
- v0.2
Why Kickoff leans HOU
Largest model inputs — log-odds contributions, not causal explanations or betting edges. Confidence is a separate score from win probability.
- Home fieldHOU +0.1
Home field: HOU +0.1, JAX versus HOU
- ScoringJAX +0.1
Scoring: JAX +0.1, JAX versus HOU
- TurnoversJAX +0.1
Turnovers: JAX +0.1, JAX versus HOU
- Interception rateHOU +0.1
Interception rate: HOU +0.1, JAX versus HOU
- Offensive touchdownsJAX +0.1
Offensive touchdowns: JAX +0.1, JAX versus HOU
- Win percentageJAX +0.1
Win percentage: JAX +0.1, JAX versus HOU
Team context
2026 records are 0–0. Kickoff has not observed 2026 games. Club pages show the latest available nflverse roster snapshot separately from this prediction.
Prediction record
- Publication
- Generated before kickoff · Aug 17, 11:23 PM ET ET
- Source
- Kickoff Model v0.2 · preseason snapshot (prior-season information)
- Lock
- Locks at kickoff
- Final result
- Awaiting final
- Evaluation
- Not settled
Model integrity
- Prediction generated from information available before kickoff.
- No betting odds in the model.
- No future results, injuries, or live 2026 box scores.
- Win probability is not produced by the language model.