Week 12 · Thursday, Nov 26 · 8:20 PM ET · Buffalo
Kansas City Chiefs at Buffalo Bills
25% KC win probability75% BUF win probability
- Projected
- 20–28
- Model confidence
- 43%
- Model
- v0.2
Why Kickoff leans BUF
Largest model inputs — log-odds contributions, not causal explanations or betting edges. Confidence is a separate score from win probability.
- Win percentageBUF +0.3
Win percentage: BUF +0.3, KC versus BUF
- Rushing offenseBUF +0.2
Rushing offense: BUF +0.2, KC versus BUF
- QB yards/attemptBUF +0.2
QB yards/attempt: BUF +0.2, KC versus BUF
- ScoringBUF +0.2
Scoring: BUF +0.2, KC versus BUF
- Home fieldBUF +0.1
Home field: BUF +0.1, KC versus BUF
- Passing efficiencyKC +0.1
Passing efficiency: KC +0.1, KC versus BUF
Team context
2026 records are 0–0. Kickoff has not observed 2026 games. Club pages show the latest available nflverse roster snapshot separately from this prediction.
Prediction record
- Publication
- Generated before kickoff · Aug 17, 11:23 PM ET ET
- Source
- Kickoff Model v0.2 · preseason snapshot (prior-season information)
- Lock
- Locks at kickoff
- Final result
- Awaiting final
- Evaluation
- Not settled
Model integrity
- Prediction generated from information available before kickoff.
- No betting odds in the model.
- No future results, injuries, or live 2026 box scores.
- Win probability is not produced by the language model.