Week 11 · Sunday, Nov 22 · 1:00 PM ET · Detroit
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Detroit Lions
39% TB win probability61% DET win probability
- Projected
- 21–25
- Model confidence
- 33%
- Model
- v0.2
Why Kickoff leans DET
Largest model inputs — log-odds contributions, not causal explanations or betting edges. Confidence is a separate score from win probability.
- Home fieldDET +0.1
Home field: DET +0.1, TB versus DET
- ScoringDET +0.1
Scoring: DET +0.1, TB versus DET
- Passing efficiencyTB +0.1
Passing efficiency: TB +0.1, TB versus DET
- Offensive touchdownsDET +0.1
Offensive touchdowns: DET +0.1, TB versus DET
- RestTB +0.1
Rest: TB +0.1, TB versus DET
- Scoring differentialDET +0.1
Scoring differential: DET +0.1, TB versus DET
Team context
2026 records are 0–0. Kickoff has not observed 2026 games. Club pages show the latest available nflverse roster snapshot separately from this prediction.
Prediction record
- Publication
- Generated before kickoff · Aug 17, 11:23 PM ET ET
- Source
- Kickoff Model v0.2 · preseason snapshot (prior-season information)
- Lock
- Locks at kickoff
- Final result
- Awaiting final
- Evaluation
- Not settled
Model integrity
- Prediction generated from information available before kickoff.
- No betting odds in the model.
- No future results, injuries, or live 2026 box scores.
- Win probability is not produced by the language model.