Week 8 · Sunday, Nov 1 · 1:00 PM ET · Jacksonville
Indianapolis Colts at Jacksonville Jaguars
29% IND win probability71% JAX win probability
- Projected
- 20–26
- Model confidence
- 40%
- Model
- v0.2
Why Kickoff leans JAX
Largest model inputs — log-odds contributions, not causal explanations or betting edges. Confidence is a separate score from win probability.
- Win percentageJAX +0.3
Win percentage: JAX +0.3, IND versus JAX
- Home fieldJAX +0.1
Home field: JAX +0.1, IND versus JAX
- RestJAX +0.1
Rest: JAX +0.1, IND versus JAX
- Scoring differentialJAX +0.1
Scoring differential: JAX +0.1, IND versus JAX
- TurnoversIND +0.1
Turnovers: IND +0.1, IND versus JAX
- Recent formJAX +0.1
Recent form: JAX +0.1, IND versus JAX
Team context
2026 records are 0–0. Kickoff has not observed 2026 games. Club pages show the latest available nflverse roster snapshot separately from this prediction.
Prediction record
- Publication
- Generated before kickoff · Aug 17, 11:23 PM ET ET
- Source
- Kickoff Model v0.2 · preseason snapshot (prior-season information)
- Lock
- Locks at kickoff
- Final result
- Awaiting final
- Evaluation
- Not settled
Model integrity
- Prediction generated from information available before kickoff.
- No betting odds in the model.
- No future results, injuries, or live 2026 box scores.
- Win probability is not produced by the language model.