Week 7 · Thursday, Oct 22 · 8:15 PM ET · Chicago
New England Patriots at Chicago Bears
58% NE win probability42% CHI win probability
- Projected
- 24–20
- Model confidence
- 31%
- Model
- v0.2
Why Kickoff leans CHI
Largest model inputs — log-odds contributions, not causal explanations or betting edges. Confidence is a separate score from win probability.
- Passing efficiencyCHI +0.2
Passing efficiency: CHI +0.2, NE versus CHI
- Home fieldCHI +0.1
Home field: CHI +0.1, NE versus CHI
- Win percentageNE +0.1
Win percentage: NE +0.1, NE versus CHI
- Scoring differentialNE +0.1
Scoring differential: NE +0.1, NE versus CHI
- Rushing defenseNE +0.1
Rushing defense: NE +0.1, NE versus CHI
- QB yards/attemptNE +0.1
QB yards/attempt: NE +0.1, NE versus CHI
Team context
2026 records are 0–0. Kickoff has not observed 2026 games. Club pages show the latest available nflverse roster snapshot separately from this prediction.
Prediction record
- Publication
- Generated before kickoff · Aug 17, 11:23 PM ET ET
- Source
- Kickoff Model v0.2 · preseason snapshot (prior-season information)
- Lock
- Locks at kickoff
- Final result
- Awaiting final
- Evaluation
- Not settled
Model integrity
- Prediction generated from information available before kickoff.
- No betting odds in the model.
- No future results, injuries, or live 2026 box scores.
- Win probability is not produced by the language model.