Week 5 · Sunday, Oct 11 · 1:00 PM ET · New England
Las Vegas Raiders at New England Patriots
12% LV win probability88% NE win probability
- Projected
- 15–33
- Model confidence
- 53%
- Model
- v0.2
Why Kickoff leans NE
Largest model inputs — log-odds contributions, not causal explanations or betting edges. Confidence is a separate score from win probability.
- Win percentageNE +0.6
Win percentage: NE +0.6, LV versus NE
- ScoringNE +0.4
Scoring: NE +0.4, LV versus NE
- Scoring differentialNE +0.3
Scoring differential: NE +0.3, LV versus NE
- Passing efficiencyLV +0.2
Passing efficiency: LV +0.2, LV versus NE
- Interception rateNE +0.2
Interception rate: NE +0.2, LV versus NE
- Rushing offenseNE +0.2
Rushing offense: NE +0.2, LV versus NE
Team context
2026 records are 0–0. Kickoff has not observed 2026 games. Club pages show the latest available nflverse roster snapshot separately from this prediction.
Prediction record
- Publication
- Generated before kickoff · Aug 17, 11:23 PM ET ET
- Source
- Kickoff Model v0.2 · preseason snapshot (prior-season information)
- Lock
- Locks at kickoff
- Final result
- Awaiting final
- Evaluation
- Not settled
Model integrity
- Prediction generated from information available before kickoff.
- No betting odds in the model.
- No future results, injuries, or live 2026 box scores.
- Win probability is not produced by the language model.