Week 5 · Sunday, Oct 11 · 1:00 PM ET · Pittsburgh
Indianapolis Colts at Pittsburgh Steelers
45% IND win probability55% PIT win probability
- Projected
- 22–23
- Model confidence
- 29%
- Model
- v0.2
Why Kickoff leans PIT
Largest model inputs — log-odds contributions, not causal explanations or betting edges. Confidence is a separate score from win probability.
- Home fieldPIT +0.1
Home field: PIT +0.1, IND versus PIT
- TurnoversIND +0.1
Turnovers: IND +0.1, IND versus PIT
- Win percentagePIT +0.1
Win percentage: PIT +0.1, IND versus PIT
- Interception ratePIT +0.1
Interception rate: PIT +0.1, IND versus PIT
- ScoringIND +0.1
Scoring: IND +0.1, IND versus PIT
- Passing efficiencyPIT +0.1
Passing efficiency: PIT +0.1, IND versus PIT
Team context
2026 records are 0–0. Kickoff has not observed 2026 games. Club pages show the latest available nflverse roster snapshot separately from this prediction.
Prediction record
- Publication
- Generated before kickoff · Aug 17, 11:23 PM ET ET
- Source
- Kickoff Model v0.2 · preseason snapshot (prior-season information)
- Lock
- Locks at kickoff
- Final result
- Awaiting final
- Evaluation
- Not settled
Model integrity
- Prediction generated from information available before kickoff.
- No betting odds in the model.
- No future results, injuries, or live 2026 box scores.
- Win probability is not produced by the language model.