Week 5 · Sunday, Oct 11 · 1:00 PM ET · Tennessee
Houston Texans at Tennessee Titans
77% HOU win probability23% TEN win probability
- Projected
- 27–18
- Model confidence
- 45%
- Model
- v0.2
Why Kickoff leans HOU
Largest model inputs — log-odds contributions, not causal explanations or betting edges. Confidence is a separate score from win probability.
- Win percentageHOU +0.5
Win percentage: HOU +0.5, HOU versus TEN
- Scoring differentialHOU +0.3
Scoring differential: HOU +0.3, HOU versus TEN
- QB yards/attemptHOU +0.3
QB yards/attempt: HOU +0.3, HOU versus TEN
- ScoringHOU +0.2
Scoring: HOU +0.2, HOU versus TEN
- Home fieldTEN +0.1
Home field: TEN +0.1, HOU versus TEN
- Points allowedHOU +0.1
Points allowed: HOU +0.1, HOU versus TEN
Team context
2026 records are 0–0. Kickoff has not observed 2026 games. Club pages show the latest available nflverse roster snapshot separately from this prediction.
Prediction record
- Publication
- Generated before kickoff · Aug 17, 11:23 PM ET ET
- Source
- Kickoff Model v0.2 · preseason snapshot (prior-season information)
- Lock
- Locks at kickoff
- Final result
- Awaiting final
- Evaluation
- Not settled
Model integrity
- Prediction generated from information available before kickoff.
- No betting odds in the model.
- No future results, injuries, or live 2026 box scores.
- Win probability is not produced by the language model.