Week 5 · Sunday, Oct 11 · 4:25 PM ET · Arizona
Detroit Lions at Arizona Cardinals
66% DET win probability34% ARI win probability
- Projected
- 25–19
- Model confidence
- 37%
- Model
- v0.2
Why Kickoff leans DET
Largest model inputs — log-odds contributions, not causal explanations or betting edges. Confidence is a separate score from win probability.
- Win percentageDET +0.3
Win percentage: DET +0.3, DET versus ARI
- Scoring differentialDET +0.2
Scoring differential: DET +0.2, DET versus ARI
- ScoringDET +0.2
Scoring: DET +0.2, DET versus ARI
- Home fieldARI +0.1
Home field: ARI +0.1, DET versus ARI
- Passing efficiencyARI +0.1
Passing efficiency: ARI +0.1, DET versus ARI
- Rushing offenseDET +0.1
Rushing offense: DET +0.1, DET versus ARI
Team context
2026 records are 0–0. Kickoff has not observed 2026 games. Club pages show the latest available nflverse roster snapshot separately from this prediction.
Prediction record
- Publication
- Generated before kickoff · Aug 17, 11:23 PM ET ET
- Source
- Kickoff Model v0.2 · preseason snapshot (prior-season information)
- Lock
- Locks at kickoff
- Final result
- Awaiting final
- Evaluation
- Not settled
Model integrity
- Prediction generated from information available before kickoff.
- No betting odds in the model.
- No future results, injuries, or live 2026 box scores.
- Win probability is not produced by the language model.