Week 5 · Sunday, Oct 11 · 4:05 PM ET · Los Angeles
Denver Broncos at Los Angeles Chargers
58% DEN win probability42% LAC win probability
- Projected
- 23–22
- Model confidence
- 31%
- Model
- v0.2
Why Kickoff leans LAC
Largest model inputs — log-odds contributions, not causal explanations or betting edges. Confidence is a separate score from win probability.
- Home fieldLAC +0.1
Home field: LAC +0.1, DEN versus LAC
- Win percentageDEN +0.1
Win percentage: DEN +0.1, DEN versus LAC
- QB yards/attemptDEN +0.1
QB yards/attempt: DEN +0.1, DEN versus LAC
- Interception rateDEN +0.1
Interception rate: DEN +0.1, DEN versus LAC
- TurnoversLAC +0.1
Turnovers: LAC +0.1, DEN versus LAC
- Scoring differentialDEN +0.1
Scoring differential: DEN +0.1, DEN versus LAC
Team context
2026 records are 0–0. Kickoff has not observed 2026 games. Club pages show the latest available nflverse roster snapshot separately from this prediction.
Prediction record
- Publication
- Generated before kickoff · Aug 17, 11:23 PM ET ET
- Source
- Kickoff Model v0.2 · preseason snapshot (prior-season information)
- Lock
- Locks at kickoff
- Final result
- Awaiting final
- Evaluation
- Not settled
Model integrity
- Prediction generated from information available before kickoff.
- No betting odds in the model.
- No future results, injuries, or live 2026 box scores.
- Win probability is not produced by the language model.