Week 4 · Thursday, Oct 1 · 8:15 PM ET · Cleveland
Pittsburgh Steelers at Cleveland Browns
59% PIT win probability41% CLE win probability
- Projected
- 24–20
- Model confidence
- 32%
- Model
- v0.2
Why Kickoff leans PIT
Largest model inputs — log-odds contributions, not causal explanations or betting edges. Confidence is a separate score from win probability.
- Win percentagePIT +0.3
Win percentage: PIT +0.3, PIT versus CLE
- Interception ratePIT +0.2
Interception rate: PIT +0.2, PIT versus CLE
- ScoringPIT +0.2
Scoring: PIT +0.2, PIT versus CLE
- Home fieldCLE +0.1
Home field: CLE +0.1, PIT versus CLE
- TurnoversCLE +0.1
Turnovers: CLE +0.1, PIT versus CLE
- Offensive touchdownsPIT +0.1
Offensive touchdowns: PIT +0.1, PIT versus CLE
Team context
2026 records are 0–0. Kickoff has not observed 2026 games. Club pages show the latest available nflverse roster snapshot separately from this prediction.
Prediction record
- Publication
- Generated before kickoff · Aug 17, 11:23 PM ET ET
- Source
- Kickoff Model v0.2 · preseason snapshot (prior-season information)
- Lock
- Locks at kickoff
- Final result
- Awaiting final
- Evaluation
- Not settled
Model integrity
- Prediction generated from information available before kickoff.
- No betting odds in the model.
- No future results, injuries, or live 2026 box scores.
- Win probability is not produced by the language model.