Week 4 · Sunday, Oct 4 · 1:00 PM ET · Chicago
New York Jets at Chicago Bears
21% NYJ win probability79% CHI win probability
- Projected
- 17–29
- Model confidence
- 46%
- Model
- v0.2
Why Kickoff leans CHI
Largest model inputs — log-odds contributions, not causal explanations or betting edges. Confidence is a separate score from win probability.
- Win percentageCHI +0.4
Win percentage: CHI +0.4, NYJ versus CHI
- Scoring differentialCHI +0.2
Scoring differential: CHI +0.2, NYJ versus CHI
- ScoringCHI +0.2
Scoring: CHI +0.2, NYJ versus CHI
- TurnoversNYJ +0.2
Turnovers: NYJ +0.2, NYJ versus CHI
- Offensive touchdownsCHI +0.2
Offensive touchdowns: CHI +0.2, NYJ versus CHI
- Interception rateCHI +0.1
Interception rate: CHI +0.1, NYJ versus CHI
Team context
2026 records are 0–0. Kickoff has not observed 2026 games. Club pages show the latest available nflverse roster snapshot separately from this prediction.
Prediction record
- Publication
- Generated before kickoff · Aug 17, 11:23 PM ET ET
- Source
- Kickoff Model v0.2 · preseason snapshot (prior-season information)
- Lock
- Locks at kickoff
- Final result
- Awaiting final
- Evaluation
- Not settled
Model integrity
- Prediction generated from information available before kickoff.
- No betting odds in the model.
- No future results, injuries, or live 2026 box scores.
- Win probability is not produced by the language model.