Week 4 · Sunday, Oct 4 · 1:00 PM ET · Buffalo
New England Patriots at Buffalo Bills
50% NE win probability50% BUF win probability
- Projected
- 23–23
- Model confidence
- 26%
- Model
- v0.2
Why Kickoff leans BUF
Largest model inputs — log-odds contributions, not causal explanations or betting edges. Confidence is a separate score from win probability.
- Home fieldBUF +0.1
Home field: BUF +0.1, NE versus BUF
- Rushing defenseNE +0.1
Rushing defense: NE +0.1, NE versus BUF
- Rushing offenseBUF +0.1
Rushing offense: BUF +0.1, NE versus BUF
- Win percentageNE +0.1
Win percentage: NE +0.1, NE versus BUF
- Passing efficiencyBUF +0.1
Passing efficiency: BUF +0.1, NE versus BUF
- Scoring differentialNE +0.1
Scoring differential: NE +0.1, NE versus BUF
Team context
2026 records are 0–0. Kickoff has not observed 2026 games. Club pages show the latest available nflverse roster snapshot separately from this prediction.
Prediction record
- Publication
- Generated before kickoff · Aug 17, 11:23 PM ET ET
- Source
- Kickoff Model v0.2 · preseason snapshot (prior-season information)
- Lock
- Locks at kickoff
- Final result
- Awaiting final
- Evaluation
- Not settled
Model integrity
- Prediction generated from information available before kickoff.
- No betting odds in the model.
- No future results, injuries, or live 2026 box scores.
- Win probability is not produced by the language model.