Week 4 · Sunday, Oct 4 · 4:25 PM ET · Las Vegas
Kansas City Chiefs at Las Vegas Raiders
63% KC win probability37% LV win probability
- Projected
- 26–19
- Model confidence
- 35%
- Model
- v0.2
Why Kickoff leans KC
Largest model inputs — log-odds contributions, not causal explanations or betting edges. Confidence is a separate score from win probability.
- Scoring differentialKC +0.2
Scoring differential: KC +0.2, KC versus LV
- Interception rateKC +0.2
Interception rate: KC +0.2, KC versus LV
- ScoringKC +0.2
Scoring: KC +0.2, KC versus LV
- Home fieldLV +0.1
Home field: LV +0.1, KC versus LV
- Win percentageKC +0.1
Win percentage: KC +0.1, KC versus LV
- QB yards/attemptLV +0.1
QB yards/attempt: LV +0.1, KC versus LV
Team context
2026 records are 0–0. Kickoff has not observed 2026 games. Club pages show the latest available nflverse roster snapshot separately from this prediction.
Prediction record
- Publication
- Generated before kickoff · Aug 17, 11:23 PM ET ET
- Source
- Kickoff Model v0.2 · preseason snapshot (prior-season information)
- Lock
- Locks at kickoff
- Final result
- Awaiting final
- Evaluation
- Not settled
Model integrity
- Prediction generated from information available before kickoff.
- No betting odds in the model.
- No future results, injuries, or live 2026 box scores.
- Win probability is not produced by the language model.