Week 4 · Sunday, Oct 4 · 1:00 PM ET · Houston
Dallas Cowboys at Houston Texans
37% DAL win probability63% HOU win probability
- Projected
- 21–25
- Model confidence
- 35%
- Model
- v0.2
Why Kickoff leans HOU
Largest model inputs — log-odds contributions, not causal explanations or betting edges. Confidence is a separate score from win probability.
- Win percentageHOU +0.2
Win percentage: HOU +0.2, DAL versus HOU
- Points allowedHOU +0.2
Points allowed: HOU +0.2, DAL versus HOU
- Home fieldHOU +0.1
Home field: HOU +0.1, DAL versus HOU
- Scoring differentialHOU +0.1
Scoring differential: HOU +0.1, DAL versus HOU
- TurnoversDAL +0.1
Turnovers: DAL +0.1, DAL versus HOU
- Rushing defenseHOU +0.1
Rushing defense: HOU +0.1, DAL versus HOU
Team context
2026 records are 0–0. Kickoff has not observed 2026 games. Club pages show the latest available nflverse roster snapshot separately from this prediction.
Prediction record
- Publication
- Generated before kickoff · Aug 17, 11:23 PM ET ET
- Source
- Kickoff Model v0.2 · preseason snapshot (prior-season information)
- Lock
- Locks at kickoff
- Final result
- Awaiting final
- Evaluation
- Not settled
Model integrity
- Prediction generated from information available before kickoff.
- No betting odds in the model.
- No future results, injuries, or live 2026 box scores.
- Win probability is not produced by the language model.