Week 4 · Monday, Oct 5 · 8:15 PM ET · New Orleans
Atlanta Falcons at New Orleans Saints
52% ATL win probability48% NO win probability
- Projected
- 22–22
- Model confidence
- 28%
- Model
- v0.2
Why Kickoff leans NO
Largest model inputs — log-odds contributions, not causal explanations or betting edges. Confidence is a separate score from win probability.
- Home fieldNO +0.1
Home field: NO +0.1, ATL versus NO
- Rushing offenseATL +0.1
Rushing offense: ATL +0.1, ATL versus NO
- Win percentageATL +0.1
Win percentage: ATL +0.1, ATL versus NO
- TurnoversNO +0.1
Turnovers: NO +0.1, ATL versus NO
- ScoringATL +0.1
Scoring: ATL +0.1, ATL versus NO
- Interception rateATL +0.1
Interception rate: ATL +0.1, ATL versus NO
Team context
2026 records are 0–0. Kickoff has not observed 2026 games. Club pages show the latest available nflverse roster snapshot separately from this prediction.
Prediction record
- Publication
- Generated before kickoff · Aug 17, 11:23 PM ET ET
- Source
- Kickoff Model v0.2 · preseason snapshot (prior-season information)
- Lock
- Locks at kickoff
- Final result
- Awaiting final
- Evaluation
- Not settled
Model integrity
- Prediction generated from information available before kickoff.
- No betting odds in the model.
- No future results, injuries, or live 2026 box scores.
- Win probability is not produced by the language model.