Week 1 · Sunday, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET · Pittsburgh
Atlanta Falcons at Pittsburgh Steelers
42% ATL win probability58% PIT win probability
- Projected
- 22–25
- Model confidence
- 32%
- Model
- v0.2
Why Kickoff leans PIT
Largest model inputs — log-odds contributions, not causal explanations or betting edges. Confidence is a separate score from win probability.
- Home fieldPIT +0.1
Home field: PIT +0.1, ATL versus PIT
- Win percentagePIT +0.1
Win percentage: PIT +0.1, ATL versus PIT
- Rushing offenseATL +0.1
Rushing offense: ATL +0.1, ATL versus PIT
- Offensive touchdownsPIT +0.1
Offensive touchdowns: PIT +0.1, ATL versus PIT
- ScoringPIT +0.1
Scoring: PIT +0.1, ATL versus PIT
- Scoring differentialPIT +0.1
Scoring differential: PIT +0.1, ATL versus PIT
Team context
2026 records are 0–0. Kickoff has not observed 2026 games. Club pages show the latest available nflverse roster snapshot separately from this prediction.
Prediction record
- Publication
- Generated before kickoff · Aug 17, 11:23 PM ET ET
- Source
- Kickoff Model v0.2 · preseason snapshot (prior-season information)
- Lock
- Locks at kickoff
- Final result
- Awaiting final
- Evaluation
- Not settled
Model integrity
- Prediction generated from information available before kickoff.
- No betting odds in the model.
- No future results, injuries, or live 2026 box scores.
- Win probability is not produced by the language model.